The information on this site is for reference only and is not investment advice. Crypto assets are high risk, and you can lose most or all of the money you use. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
R4 is a weekly, spot-only research model. It does not use leverage or shorting, and it is not investment advice. The numbers below are from the published example ledger, not a live account.
Step 1
BUY tranche 1 of 4
Aug 8, 2022 · $23,174
Step 2
BUY tranche 2 of 4
Dec 19, 2022 · $16,739
Step 3
REDUCE 1 of 4 — remaining 75%
Sep 1, 2025 · $108,246
Step 4
REDUCE 2 of 4 — remaining 50%
Sep 29, 2025 · $112,164
Step 5
REDUCE 3 of 4 — remaining 25%
Nov 10, 2025 · $104,723
Step 6
HOLD the remaining 25% core
Real decision dates and paper-fill prices from the published sample. The model allows up to 4 buy slices and 4 reduce slices. This epoch used two buys and three reduces, so 25% of the bought coins remain.
The input is BINANCE:BTCUSDT standard weekly candles. A week opens Monday 00:00 UTC. The model decides only after that week has closed, and the marker stays on the decision candle. Paper fills use the next week's open, with a 0.1% fee and $0.02 of slippage inside the example ledger. Decisions are at least four weeks apart.
When a lower zone is confirmed and the weekly close is still inside that frozen band, the model may accumulate spot. Invalidation pauses new buys; it does not automatically sell what the example ledger already holds.
One funded epoch can use at most four cash slices, each 25% of the example budget (for example $2,500 of $10,000). Buys only happen while no reduce has started in that epoch. Unused cash slices stay unused if the zone is left or invalidated before they are filled.
When a distribution phase is active, the model can reduce the coins it already holds. Each reduce sells the remaining quantity divided by (4 minus reduces already filled): 25%, then 25%, then 25%, and a fourth reduce would close the last 25%. A distribution phase lasts at most 16 closed weeks. A pending reduce fills only if the next open is at or below the phase ceiling; a gap above that ceiling cancels it, and the model does not chase. Weakness (weekly close below the prior week's low, with WaveTrend below its average) is required after the first trigger.
On the published sample the model printed two buy tranches and three reduces. The 16-week distribution window ended before a fourth reduce, so 25% of the bought coins remain. HOLD is that remaining core, not a hold of the full position from the start of the cycle. New buy tranches cannot start while this remainder is still held.
The model is waiting for a new accumulation zone. A later distribution phase can still sell the last 25%. A new funded epoch, with new buy tranches, starts only after the example position is flat and a later qualified accumulation zone appears.